Younes Lalami Laaroussi vs Carlos Guerrero Alvarez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Alvarez shows stronger recent second serve performance, winning 51.92% of points compared to Laaroussi's 41.91%. Does this indicate a serving edge? Yes, it suggests Alvarez might secure more points on serve.
• In return games, Laaroussi has a higher win rate against opponents' second serves at 48.08%, compared to Alvarez's -50%. Could this mean Laaroussi has an advantage in return games? The data suggests so.
• When it comes to first serve returns, Alvarez slightly edges Laaroussi with 31.37%, over Laaroussi's 29.93%.
• Laaroussi has the upper hand in saving breakpoints, with a rate of 58.23%, surpassing Alvarez's 53.33%.
• Performance over the last year is quite similar: Alvarez won 54.55% of their matches, while Laaroussi claimed 53.85%. However, the difference is minimal, suggesting a closely matched face-off.
• On their best surfaces, Alvarez excels on Hard courts with a 54% win rate, while Laaroussi performs better on Clay with 53% wins.
• Laaroussi has faced less ranked opponents, with an average opponent rank of 371.02, compared to Alvarez's 214.91.
• In deciding sets, Laaroussi has a slight advantage, winning 43% compared to Alvarez's 40% victory rate.
• Laaroussi excels in breakpoint conversion at 36.36%, whereas Alvarez's rate is significantly lower at 11.76%.

Editorial Prediction (August 13, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match poses a competitive encounter between Alvarez and Laaroussi. Reviewing recent performance metrics, Alvarez displays a stronger serve game, particularly on the second serve, where they outperform Laaroussi by 10 percentage points. This strengthens their ability to hold serve consistently.

Laaroussi, however, counters with superior return game statistics and greater efficiency in seizing breakpoint opportunities. Their aptitude for converting breakpoints at a rate over three times that of Alvarez might tilt critical points in their favor.

Experience across different surfaces also reveals important insights. While Alvarez thrives on Hard courts, which could be advantageous if the match takes place on such a surface, Laaroussi’s overall adaptability, particularly on Clay, implies potential resilience in varied conditions.

Both players are evenly matched in terms of recent wins, but considering Laaroussi's stronger breakpoint performance and return game, they may hold a subtle edge.

In view of these factors, Laaroussi seems more likely to emerge victorious in this tight matchup.